Harami Candlestick Pattern
I would like to cover some secondary candlestick patterns that signal a reversal may be at hand. These are not as powerful as the formations we went over in our Candlestick Charts Reversal article; however, they are important nonetheless. This article will focus on the harami.
When the harami pattern appears, it depicts a condition in which the market is losing its steam in the prevailing direction. The harami consists of a small real body that is contained within the preceding large candles' real body. The preceding candle tends to be very large in relation to the other candles around it.
What does a harami tell us about the condition of the market? During a bullish move, the harami tells us that strength in the previous candle is dissipating. This could be as a result of the bulls who have made gains in the stock may be taking a breather to either accumulate more shares or sell out of their existing positions. While the bias of the harami pattern indicates a reversal, I have noticed that the appearance of a harami formation in day trading can actually be quite bullish if the highs of the bar prior to the harami are broken to the upside. This would indicate that there was, in fact, buying going on within the harami bar.
The harami cross is a more powerful version of the harami. It is characterized by having a very small real body almost to the point of being a doji. The smaller the real body, the better for this formation. The lack of a real body after a strong move in the prior candle tells us with more certainty that the previous trend is coming to an end and that a reversal may be at hand. The high or low of a harami cross setup tends to provide resistance or support for any further price moves. Let's take a look at a simple example that a day trader could have profited handsomely off of.
As you can see, this was a perfect harami cross setup but I also want to point your attention to the fact that we saw other candlestick formations confirm what the harami cross was telling us. The double top that came in the form of a bearish engulfing candlestick gave us that added confirmation that we really did see a top of some sort. Again, a triple top came in the form of a shooting star which also led us to believe that we could be in store for yet another pullback. This is the power of candlesticks and using various methods to confirm each other.
Trading the Harami
Now that we have covered the basics of the harami candlestick pattern, it’s now time to dive into tradeable strategies. Please note all of the subsequent examples are on a 5-minute time frame, but the rules apply to others just as well.
#1 - Trading Harami with Price Action
Since the harami candle is a price action component itself, we should always include the price action strategy option in our analysis.
Trading with price action means to rely fully on the price action on the chart. This means: no indicators, no oscillators, no moving averages, etc. You rely solely on chart patterns, candle patterns, support, resistance, and Fibonacci levels.
This is the 5-minute chart of Facebook from Sep 29, 2015. On the chart, you will see many colorful lines illustrating different price action patterns.
First, we start with the red circle at the beginning of the chart. This is a 100% Harami candle! Yet, we do not enter the market, because the next set of candles do not indicate a reversal. We get one tiny red candle and the next one is a strong bullish candlestick. However, after the big green candle, we get a second tiny red candle. Look how its body is contained by the bigger bullish candle. It is a bearish Harami! In addition, with the next two red candles we confirm a Three Black Crows candle pattern, shown in the green circle. This is when we sell Facebook short and begin to follow the price action.
In the orange lines, you will see a consolidation, which looks like a bearish pennant. Suddenly, Facebook’s price breaks the pennant to the downside and thus we continue to hold our short position.
The further decrease in price creates a bottom, which I have marked with a green line. Then, we see a resistance level develop – the blue line. These are our next support and resistance levels for Facebook. If the price breaks the support, we hold our position. If the price breaks the resistance, we exit the trade – literally that simple!
The price breaks the green support and we continue holding our short position. I have marked the bottom after the decrease with a yellow line. Note that the price retraces to the blue resistance level and then bounces back. Did you notice that we now have two tops on the same line and two bottoms on the same line? This is how we draw our bearish channel.
The price breaks the yellow support in a bearish direction. This means we continue to hold our short position.
The price then drops to the lower level of the channel and starts to form a bottom. This looks like a regular correction, doesn’t it?
However, the blue lines at the end of the chart show how the price confirms a double bottom pattern. The double bottom is an early indication that price is likely to stabilize and lead to a potential short rally.
The next price increase confirms the double bottom pattern and the price closes outside of the downtrend channel, which has held the price down the entire trading day. At this point, the writing is on the wall and we exit our short position.
This short trade with Facebook brings us a profit of $3.30 per share for about 5 hours of work. This is what I call a great trade!
#2 - Trading Harami with a Fast EMA and Fibonacci Levels
This time, I will combine the Harami candle chart pattern with an exponential moving average and Fibonacci levels. When I spot a Harami pattern, I will use the moving average to set an entry point. If the price moves in my favor, I follow the retracement with the Fibonacci levels. I will close my position when the price breaks a key Fibonacci support level or when the exponential moving average is broken in the opposite direction of the primary trend.
This is a 5-minute chart of Apple from Nov 19, 2015. I am using a 5-period EMA for this example.
The first black line shows the overall bullish trend. Then we spot a bearish Harami, which leads us to place the Fibonacci levels on the chart. Two candles later, Apple’s price breaks the 5-period EMA downwards. This is when we go short.
Notice that there is definitely a strong support around the 23.6% Fibonacci level, but the price doesn’t close above the EMA with its full body. Thus, we hold our trade. Apple breaks 23.6% and keeps decreasing. A new drop to 38.2% Fibonacci level appears. This is exactly when we close our position. The reason for this is that we see a hammer candle after the price touches 38.2%. This gives us a sign to exit the position. Otherwise, we could hold until the price closes above the EMA.
This trade brought us a profit of $.77 cents per share in less than an hour.
#3 - Trading Harami with a Fast Oscillator
Since the Harami is a reversal pattern, we need a way to measure the likelihood of successful signal to reduce the noise. This is where a fast oscillator can be of great assistance in terms of trade validation.
Notice that I say a fast oscillator, as they give more signals than the slower ones.
If you use the money flow or the price oscillator, the chance to match a Harami with an overbought/oversold signal is minimal. The stochastic oscillator on the other hand is great for trading haramis. If you have an uptrend and you get a bearish harami candle, you can try to confirm this signal with the stochastic. In this case, you will need an overbought signal from the stochastic. If you receive this additional signal, you can open a trade – short position in our case. Then you can stay in the market until you get a contrary signal from the oscillator. Let’s now see how this strategy works with the help of the stochastic oscillator:
This is the 5-minute chart of Citigroup from Nov 19, 2015. After a price increase, a bearish harami develops which is shown in the green circle on the chart. At the same time, the stochastic has already been in the overbought area for about 7 periods. This gives us a short signal. We short Citigroup and we wait for an opposite signal from the stochastic. 5 periods later, the blue stochastic line hops in the oversold area for a moment. This is the signal we were waiting for in order to close our trade. We exit the position and collect a profit of $.30 cents per share for 25 minutes of work.
#4 - Trading Harami with Bollinger Bands
In this trading strategy, I will combine the harami with bollinger bands. I will only trade the haramis, which form in the moment when the price touches a level of the upper or lower bollinger bands.
For example, once the price touches the upper bollinger band at the same time a harami is formed, I would open a short position. I would then hold the position until the price touches the lower bollinger band.
This is the 5-minute chart of IBM from Dec 8, 2015. The first black arrow shows an increase of IBM and price interaction with the upper bollinger band. In the green circle, you see a bearish harami candle. This gives us a short signal and we open the trade.
We hold our trade until the price meets the lower bollinger band level. We close our position when the price closes the first bullish candle after touching the lower bollinger band level. This happens 28 periods later, almost 2 hours after we entered the trade. This trade makes us a total profit of $1.07 per share on IBM.
Which strategy is better?
All four strategies are great for trading candlestick reversal patterns like the harami. Yet, if I had to pick a strategy, I prefer trading haramis with bollinger bands. I believe that bollinger bands are likely to give you less false signals and keep you in winning trades longer.
Price action trading is often insufficient for making a trading decision, as it requires years of experience mastering chart patterns.
The EMA plus Fibonacci strategy is strongly profitable, but sometimes the fast EMA could get you out of a winning trade relatively early.
Although the stochastics is one of the faster oscillators, it might take forever until you match your candle pattern with an overbought/oversold signal.
One point to note is that these four trading strategies can be used in combination with all other candlestick reversal patterns. Therefore, candlestick patterns like doji, hammer, inverted hammer, hanging man, shooting star, morning star, evening star, engulfing, etc. will provide you similar trading results as the harami pattern.
- The harami has trend reversal characteristics.
- We confirm a harami at the end of a trend when a candle’s body fully contains the size of the next candle.
- Since a harami is a secondary candle pattern, we need to confirm its signals with additional trading tools.
- Successful harami trading strategies are:
- Harami + Price Action
- Harami + Fast EMA + Fibonacci Levels
- Harami + Fast Oscillator (Stochastic)
- Harami + Bollinger Bands
- We could say that harami plus bollinger bands perform better than the other tree strategies, because:
- Bollinger bands is a volatility indicator.
- It gives less false entries.
- It keeps you in winning trades longer.
- The four strategies covered in this article are applicable to other candlestick reversal patterns.